Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MATOGROSSENSE - ROUND 7

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday


	Nova Mutum		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.25	4.5	1.26
	11.12	4.09	1.29
	12.5	4.7	1.26
	16	4.8	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.22 ↑ (7.33)	4.52 ↑ (3.56)	1.26 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Mutum
7.4%

Draw
20.1%

Cuiabá
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

25.6%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

25.4%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cuiabá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cuiabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Nova Mutum - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nova Mutum will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nova Mutum: 68.4% – 100%.

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Preview

Nova Mutum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cuiabá is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cuiabá is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nova Mutum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nova Mutum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
12.02.23	Cacerense - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
09.02.23	Mixto - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Nova Mutum - Academia Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
01.02.23	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Nova Mutum - Sport Sinop	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTTT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
11.02.23	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Cuiabá - Operário Ltda	4:1 ✺
04.02.23	Dom Bosco - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Academia Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
02.02.22	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	3:2
31.03.21	Nova Mutum - Cuiabá	1:1
22.01.20	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	1:0

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