Match Info

SERBIA: SUPER LIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Caizcoin Arena (Novi Pazar)

Referee: Radakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Novi Pazar		Kolubara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.59	3.5	4.8
	1.43	4.3	6.9
	1.47	3.5	7
	1.47	4	6.9
	1.45	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	3.87 ↑ (3.7)	6.5 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novi Pazar
62.1%

Draw
23.8%

Kolubara
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novi Pazar's performance.

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kolubara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Novi Pazar - Kolubara Predictions

Users Predictions: Novi Pazar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group) and 9 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group)).

Novi Pazar is Qualified for Super Liga (Championship Group)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novi Pazar won 2.

Recent matches Novi Pazar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kolubara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Novi Pazar is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Novi Pazar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Novi Pazar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
12.03.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	5:1 ✺
06.03.23	Novi Pazar - Radnički 1923	1:0 ✺
01.03.23	Spartak Subotica - Novi Pazar	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Novi Pazar - Mladost Novi Sad	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- FK Kolubara
Serbian Superliga
13.03.23	Kolubara - Bačka Topola	0:1 ✺
08.03.23	Partizan - Kolubara	1:1 ✺
02.03.23	Kolubara - Javor Ivanjica	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Čukarički - Kolubara	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Kolubara - Rad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Cup
09.11.22	Novi Pazar - Kolubara	2:1
Serbian Superliga
19.09.22	Kolubara - Novi Pazar	1:0
26.04.22	Kolubara - Novi Pazar	1:3
19.02.22	Novi Pazar - Kolubara	1:2
12.09.21	Kolubara - Novi Pazar	3:0
Serbian Prva Liga
18.11.19	Novi Pazar - Kolubara	0:0
23.08.19	Kolubara - Novi Pazar	3:1

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