Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 3

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gradski Stadion (Novi Pazar)

Referee: Ilic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Germany	Laola1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 10
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Novi Pazar		OFK Beograd

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.5	Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.70
	2.02	3.1	3.65	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.76
	1.84	3.56	4.18	Watch
	2.08	2.9	3.7
	2.08	3.25	3.55	Watch
	2.01	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.45)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novi Pazar
46.1%

Draw
29%

OFK Beograd
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OFK Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Novi Pazar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). OFK will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Prekovic M. (G) 2. Miljkovic A. 4. Hadzimujovic A. 23. Marinkovic J. (C) 3. Mirosavic V. 8. Togbe S. 24. Davidovic I. 26. Johnson Agwom D. 10. Sadi D. 9. Kotzebue V. 20. Dixon K.	31. Draskic V. (G) 77. Gobeljic M. 4. Pavlovic A. (C) 45. Vukicevic A. 3. Addo E. 6. Pena S. 27. Aderoju H. 24. Stojanovic U. 20. Sljivic J. 11. De Barr T. 42. Silue D. Y.
Substitutes
32. Adzic B. 50. Dadic T. 6. Gadio P. 70. Jankovic D. 7. Jonny 1. Matijasevic B. (G) 5. Melentijevic S. 21. Petrovic M. 27. Sacirovic H. 11. Skrobonja N. 14. Stankovic N.	25. Dembele I. 2. Despotovski S. 26. Fall M. 9. Hoard E. 16. Ivanovic L. 10. Markovic S. 14. Momcilovic M. 28. Mrvaljevic J. 19. Rankovic D. 97. Stojisic N. (G) 18. Toure H.
Coaches
Pandurovic S.	Damjanovic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Pavlovic A. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Silue D. Y. ⚽,
30', Gobeljic M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Kotzebue V. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Marinkovic J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Silue D. Y. ⚽, Aderoju H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Togbe S. ↓, Dadic T. ↑,
46', 1 - 3, Sljivic J. ⚽, Aderoju H. (A),
46', Mirosavic V. ↓, Jankovic D. ↑,
62', Miljkovic A. 🟨,
64', Kotzebue V. ↓, Jonny ↑,
67', 1 - 4, Pena S. ⚽,
69', Hadzimujovic A. 🟨,
69', Johnson Agwom D. 🟨,
73', Dixon K. ↓, Adzic B. ↑,
76', Gobeljic M. ↓, Despotovski S. ↑,
84', Silue D. Y. ↓, Hoard E. ↑,
84', Addo E. ↓, Momcilovic M. ↑,
87', Johnson Agwom D. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
88', Sljivic J. ↓, Rankovic D. ↑,
88', Pena S. ↓, Mrvaljevic J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 3.

In recent matches, Novi Pazar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

OFK has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Novi Pazar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, OFK has had a series of home games.

In this match, Novi Pazar is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now

Novi Pazar: 0.65% OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	10:11	-1	13
10	OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet	10	2	3	5	13:21	-8	9

Last Results with these Odds

Novi Pazar - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
26.07.26	Mladost Lučani - Novi Pazar	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Novi Pazar - Radnički 1923	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica	0:1 ✺
07.07.26	Novi Pazar - Zemun	Canceled ✺
01.07.26	Mačva Šabac - Novi Pazar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWL?L
- OFK Beograd
Club Friendly
28.07.26	OFK Beograd - Gaziantep	1:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
25.07.26	OFK Beograd - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Vojvodina - OFK Beograd	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.26	OFK Beograd - Budućnost Podgorica	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	OFK Beograd - Vršac	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
18.04.26	Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd	1:5
15.02.26	Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd	2:1
13.09.25	OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar	0:2
25.05.25	OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar	2:3
09.12.24	OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar	1:1
03.08.24	Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd	0:0
23.04.16	OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar	1:2

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