Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Gradski Stadion (Novi Pazar)

Referee: Radakovic N. (Srb)


	Novi Pazar		Spartak Subotica

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.57	5.41
	1.69	3.53	5.27	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.8
	1.63	3.48	5.03	Watch
	1.64	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.95)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	5.12 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novi Pazar
55.2%

Draw
26.7%

Spartak Subotica
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novi Pazar's performance.

Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Subotica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Subotica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Novi Pazar (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Novi Pazar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samcovic Z. (G) 3. Miletic N. (C) 4. Hadzimujovic A. 23. Marinkovic J. 20. Mirosavic V. 24. Davidovic I. 16. Togbe S. 6. Cisse A. 10. Camaj D. 31. Alilovic Z. 18. Stanisavljevic S.	12. Dulic M. (G) 28. Bilingi Y. 9. Lincoln 7. Holender F. 2. Sekulic B. 33. Kuveljic N. 22. Cejic U. 5. Besic M. (C) 20. Osei K. B. 99. Ramirez B. 13. Wanderson
Substitutes
8. Abdullahi A. 14. Alic S. 15. Backulja F. 28. Bijelovic L. 5. Bruncevic E. 9. Kotzebue F. 29. Manev J. 19. Mavric E. (G) 7. Omoregbe B. 12. Prekovic M. (G) 27. Sacirovic H.	25. Abdul K. S. 21. Babic I. 6. Ebuka 10. Ezequiel 49. Krsmanovic N. 27. Leo Antonio 23. Minic D. (G) 90. Pavkovic D. 15. Subotic L. 50. Tasic N. 17. Trajkovic A.
Coaches
Gacinovic V.	Kruscic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Lincoln ⚽, Holender F. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Camaj D. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 2, Kuveljic N. ⚽, Osei K. B. (A),
37', Dulic M. 🟨,
38', 2 - 2, Camaj D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Holender F. ↓, Babic I. ↑,
46', Cejic U. ↓, Trajkovic A. ↑,
53', Mirosavic V. ↓, Bruncevic E. ↑,
68', Lincoln ↓, Pavkovic D. ↑,
78', Osei K. B. ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
80', Davidovic I. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
83', Wanderson ↓, Krsmanovic N. ↑,
86', Stanisavljevic S. ↓, Kotzebue F. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 1.

In recent matches, Novi Pazar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak Subotica has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Spartak Subotica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Novi Pazar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now

Novi Pazar: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	10:11	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Novi Pazar
Club Friendly
23.01.26	CSKA Sofia - Novi Pazar	Canceled ✺
20.01.26	Novi Pazar - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Novi Pazar - Karviná	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Novi Pazar - Akhmat Grozny	1:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
21.12.25	Radnik Surdulica - Novi Pazar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 ?LWWL
- Spartak Subotica
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Spartak Subotica	1:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
21.12.25	Spartak Subotica - Čukarički	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Mladost Lučani - Spartak Subotica	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
03.12.25	Spartak Subotica - Zemun	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
24.08.25	Spartak Subotica - Novi Pazar	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.25	Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica	1:2
Serbian Superliga
23.11.24	Spartak Subotica - Novi Pazar	1:1
21.07.24	Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica	3:2
13.05.24	Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica	0:1
08.03.24	Spartak Subotica - Novi Pazar	0:1
21.12.23	Novi Pazar - Spartak Subotica	0:1

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