The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nový Jičín 39.7%
Draw 25.5%
Bílovec 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
25.4%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
25.2%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nový Jičín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Bílovec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nový Jičín than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bílovec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nový Jičín won 2.
In recent outings, Nový Jičín has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bílovec is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bílovec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Nový Jičín is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Nový Jičín has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:8 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nový Jičín against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).