Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 11Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday
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 |
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 |
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Numancia B |
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Becerril |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.92 |
3 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.96 |
3.11 |
|
 |
1.03 |
11.72 |
25.00 |
Watch |
 |
2.31 |
2.9 |
3.09 |
|
 |
2.38 |
3 |
2.9 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↓ (2.32) |
4.7 ↑ (3) |
7.42 ↑ (2.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Numancia B 58.1% | Draw 25.6% | Becerril 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia B's performance.Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Becerril might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (-20.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia B that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Becerril could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Numancia B - Becerril Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).Numancia B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Becerril's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Numancia B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. We predict that Becerril will win today's game, with odds of 2.89.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Numancia B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Numancia B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;