Match Info

Date: 9 October 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nybergsund		Elverum

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Nybergsund
22.2%

Draw
20.7%

Elverum
57%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.4%

21.6%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

17.5%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nybergsund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Elverum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elverum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nybergsund than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elverum than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elverum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Nybergsund is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Elverum is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Elverum is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nybergsund won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Nybergsund won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nybergsund
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
03.10.21	Nybergsund - Grorud 2	0:4 ✺
25.09.21	Funnefoss Vormsund - Nybergsund	2:2 ✺
18.09.21	Nybergsund - Stovner	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Lillestrøm 2 - Nybergsund	3:0 ✺
04.09.21	Nybergsund - Gjelleråsen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLL
- Elverum
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
02.10.21	Elverum - Gjelleråsen	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Elverum - Gjøvik-Lyn	0:3 ✺
18.09.21	Frøya - Elverum	3:3 ✺
13.09.21	Elverum - Kongsvinger 2	1:3 ✺
04.09.21	Lørenskog - Elverum	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTLW

Nybergsund - Elverum