Match Info

Date: 12 August 2020, Wednesday


	Nyköping		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.8	2.37	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.5
	2.4	3.9	2.35
	2.5	3.7	2.28
	2.53	3.91	2.46
	2.45	3.7	2.45
	2.31	3.74	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.8)	3.78 ↑ (3.77)	2.43 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyköping
38.1%

Draw
24.2%

Luleå
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

23.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

19%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nyköping's performance.

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luleå might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nyköping that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luleå could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nyköping - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent matches Nyköpings is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luleå in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Luleå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nyköpings won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Nyköpings won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyköpings BIS
Swedish Division 1 Norra
08.08.20	Sollentuna - Nyköping	1:0 ✺
23.07.20	Nyköping - Karlstad	3:2 ✺
19.07.20	Nyköping - Täby	1:3 ✺
15.07.20	Berga - Nyköping	3:4 ✺
11.07.20	Frej - Nyköping	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWL
- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.08.20	Luleå - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
19.07.20	Luleå - Berga	1:0 ✺
15.07.20	Team TG - Luleå	2:4 ✺
11.07.20	Luleå - Karlslund	3:2 ✺
05.07.20	Karlstad - Luleå	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.08.17	Nyköping - Luleå	2:1
28.06.17	Luleå - Nyköping	0:2
09.10.16	Nyköping - Luleå	3:1
08.05.16	Luleå - Nyköping	0:1
16.08.15	Luleå - Nyköping	2:2
26.04.15	Nyköping - Luleå	1:1
28.09.14	Nyköping - Luleå	4:1

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