Match Info

DENMARK: 3rd Division

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: ALPI Arena Naesby (Naestved)


	Næsby		Young Boys FD

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.46	4.55	5.55
	1.46	4.46	5.59
	1.46	4.43	5.61	Watch
	1.41	4.55	5.89
	1.43	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	4.37 ↑ (3.6)	5.46 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
62.3%

Draw
20.9%

Young Boys FD
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Næsby's performance.

Young Boys FD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Næsby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys FD than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Næsby - Young Boys FD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
29.09.24	Brabrand - Næsby	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.24	Næsby - B.93 Copenhagen	2:1 ✺
Danish 3 Division
21.09.24	Næsby - Holbæk	2:3 ✺
15.09.24	Lyseng - Næsby	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Næsby - VSK Aarhus	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW
- Young Boys FD
Danish 3 Division
28.09.24	Young Boys FD - Sundby	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Young Boys FD - Brabrand	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Holbæk - Young Boys FD	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Young Boys FD - Brønshøj BK	0:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	Young Boys FD - Holstebro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
23.03.24	Næsby - Young Boys FD	2:0
08.09.23	Young Boys FD - Næsby	3:3
18.03.23	Næsby - Young Boys FD	2:0
08.10.22	Young Boys FD - Næsby	2:1
02.04.22	Young Boys FD - Næsby	2:3
11.09.21	Næsby - Young Boys FD	3:3

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