The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nîmes 41.2%
Draw 32.2%
Villefranche 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
30.4%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
30.8%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Nîmes - Villefranche Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Villefranche will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nîmes: 2.5% – 64.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 19. Sbai H. 5. Diouf W. 22. Mendy F. 23. Beneddine M. 6. Doukansy B. 31. Akkal S. 14. Mexique J. 18. Picouleau M. 9. Abdeldjelil O. 27. Malouda A.
1. Pean S. (G) 39. Negouai B. 17. Camelo L. 3. Vinicius Gomes 6. Rocchia C. 10. Mroivili R. 8. Joly O. 28. Ba Abou 7. Diakite A. 27. Anani A. 15. Calodat L.
Substitutes
26. Amara A. 7. Camara I. 34. El Hamri S. 10. Marcel V. 29. Paviot D.
29. Bastian M. 11. Doucoure M. 12. Mixtur K. 4. Monzango N. 21. Valerio A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Beneddine M. ↓, Paviot D. ↑,
53', Paviot D. 🟨,
61', Akkal S. ↓, Amara A. ↑,
68', Malouda A. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
72', Anani A. ↓, Doucoure M. ↑,
72', Calodat L. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
73', Diouf W. 🟨,
76', Mexique J. ↓, Marcel V. ↑,
78', Mendy F. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Doukansy B. ⚽, Abdeldjelil O. (A),
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Nîmes is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Villefranche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nîmes will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1