Match Info

DENMARK: Superliga - Relegation Group - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Nature Energy Park (Odense)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Ultra


	OB Odense		Lyngby BK

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.3
	2.03	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.11	3.6	3.55
	2.05	3.55	3.69
	1.91	3.5	3.4
	2.04	3.65	3.49	Watch
	2	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.9)	3.54 ↑ (3.53)	3.52 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OB Odense
46.6%

Draw
26.6%

Lyngby BK
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

27.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OB Odense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lyngby BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OB Odense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OB Odense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

OB Odense - Lyngby BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Odense will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lyngby will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odense: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Myhra V. (G) 28. Slotsager T. 4. Paulsen B. 29. Gomez J. 20. Owusu L. 15. Trybull T. 18. Ejdum M. 2. Mickelson N. 10. Deedson L. 11. Jensen M. 17. Kjerrumgaard L.	32. Storch J. (G) 23. Gregor P. 6. Bjelland A. 5. Lissens L. 24. Storm T. 13. Dani 30. Romer M. 20. Finnsson K. 21. Magnusson S. 17. Amon J. 22. Gudjohnsen A.
Substitutes
23. Adelgaard A. 22. Al Hajj R. 24. Bojang Y. 1. Hansen M. (G) 9. Kadrii B. 8. Manneh A. 3. Mouritsen N. 26. Mucolli A. 21. Nouck C.	27. Baden Frederiksen N. 42. Chukwuani T. 26. Gytkjaer F. 3. Hamalainen B. 7. Kumado W. 31. Mayland A. (G) 16. Meyer J. 15. Opoku M. 14. Sandgrav L.
Coaches
Krogh S.	Nielsen D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Owusu L. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽, Magnusson S. (A),
26', Mickelson N. ↓, Mouritsen N. ↑,
31', 1 - 2, Magnusson S. ⚽, Amon J. (A),
36', Magnusson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jensen M. ↓, Kadrii B. ↑,
46', Magnusson S. ↓, Chukwuani T. ↑,
62', Ejdum M. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
81', Trybull T. 🟨,
83', Gomez J. ↓, Manneh A. ↑,
83', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Nouck C. ↑,
90+1', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Gytkjaer F. ↑,
90+2', Amon J. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
90+2', Bjelland A. ↓, Meyer J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odense won 1.

Odense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lyngby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Lyngby have a series of home games.

Odense will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lyngby: Jensen D. (Injury) Jensen M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Odense: Nielsen M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lyngby: Corlu R. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Odense won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 44-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Odense won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OB Odense
Danish Superliga
06.05.24	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - OB Odense	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	OB Odense - Hvidovre	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Randers FC - OB Odense	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	OB Odense - Viborg	1:3 ✺
05.04.24	Lyngby BK - OB Odense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT
- Lyngby BK
Danish Superliga
05.05.24	Lyngby BK - Randers FC	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Lyngby BK - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Viborg - Lyngby BK	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Lyngby BK - Hvidovre	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Lyngby BK - OB Odense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
05.04.24	Lyngby BK - OB Odense	0:0
04.11.23	Lyngby BK - OB Odense	2:2
02.10.23	OB Odense - Lyngby BK	1:2
21.05.23	Lyngby BK - OB Odense	0:4
24.04.23	OB Odense - Lyngby BK	2:2
Club Friendly
01.12.22	Lyngby BK - OB Odense	1:2
Danish Superliga
21.10.22	OB Odense - Lyngby BK	3:1

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