Match Info

SERBIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Omladinski Stadion (Belgrade)


	OFK Beograd		Kolubara

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.5	6
	1.54	3.46	5.71
	1.54	3.46	5.71
	1.5	3.4	5.8
	1.51	3.6	6.38
	1.52	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	5.93 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFK Beograd
59.2%

Draw
25.7%

Kolubara
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

28.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OFK Beograd's performance.

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kolubara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OFK Beograd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolubara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Markovic S. ⚽,
30', Georgijevic D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Mituljikic N. ⚽,
71', Furtula N. ⚽,
81', ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFK Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
10.03.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - OFK Beograd	1:0 ✺
06.03.24	OFK Beograd - Inđija	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	OFK Beograd - Grafičar Beograd	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Novi Sad 1921 - OFK Beograd	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Radnički 1923 - OFK Beograd	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLT
- FK Kolubara
Serbian Prva Liga
11.03.24	Kolubara - Grafičar Beograd	1:0 ✺
06.03.24	Novi Sad 1921 - Kolubara	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Kolubara - Dubočica	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Radnički Beograd - Kolubara	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Rogaška - Kolubara	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
02.10.23	Kolubara - OFK Beograd	1:1

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