Match Info

SERBIA: Super Liga - Round 2

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday

Location: Lagator Stadium (Loznica)

Referee: Ostracanin S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1


	OFK Beograd		Tekstilac Odžaci

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	3.8	6.5
	1.47	4	6.5
	1.46	4.05	7.27
	1.45	4.02	6.7	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.44	4.1	7.18	Watch
	1.45	3.9	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.75)	3.98 ↑ (3.4)	6.82 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFK Beograd
63.5%

Draw
23%

Tekstilac Odžaci
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OFK Beograd's performance.

Tekstilac Odžaci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tekstilac Odžaci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OFK Beograd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tekstilac Odžaci than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tekstilac Odžaci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	8%	8%

OFK Beograd - Tekstilac Odžaci Predictions

Users Predictions: OFK Beograd will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Popovic B. (G) 26. Palocevic A. 15. Djermanovic A. (C) 45. Vukicevic A. 77. Gobeljic M. 73. Annan E. 14. Momcilovic M. 3. Addo E. 8. Cvetkovic A. 18. Kahvic A. 17. Stanojlovic S.	12. Brac B. (G) 4. Lukovic M. 15. Sredojevic F. 5. Marjanovic N. 33. Ilic M. 7. Marcic M. 20. Jocic B. 17. Zekic M. 13. Djuric D. 22. Davidovic I. 8. Savija S.
Substitutes
9. Bermudez M. 6. Dushevskiy D. 88. Halabrin F. 21. Lazic U. 11. Mituljikic N. 20. Nikolic S. . Obradovic S. 16. Opoku Ackah K. 93. Simonovic N. (G) 69. Stoisavljevic D. 13. Vujadinovic N.	18. Dasic J. 3. Dimkovic V. 1. Drincic M. (G) 30. Jezdimirovic M. 29. Kodzic N. 6. Stankovic D. 21. Stevanovic A. 10. Stojanovic S. 16. Tripkovic O. 9. Ukachukwu P. 14. Vasic L.
Coaches
Krunic S.	Mirjacic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Cvetkovic A. ⚽, Gobeljic M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Savija S. ↓, Ukachukwu P. ↑,
46', Ilic M. ↓, Kodzic N. ↑,
59', Stanojlovic S. ↓, Mituljikic N. ↑,
65', Marcic M. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
65', Zekic M. ↓, Vasic L. ↑,
73', Kahvic A. ↓, Stoisavljevic D. ↑,
73', Momcilovic M. ↓, Halabrin F. ↑,
79', Palocevic A. ↓, Vujadinovic N. ↑,
79', Gobeljic M. ↓, Lazic U. ↑,
84', Djuric D. ↓, Dasic J. ↑,
90+1', Ukachukwu P. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Lagator Stadium.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently OFK have a series of guest games.

In this match OFK is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches OFK won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams OFK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga
20.07.24	Mladost Lučani - OFK Beograd	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	OFK Beograd - Vršac	2:2 ✺
09.07.24	Khimki - OFK Beograd	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	Dynamo Moscow - OFK Beograd	2:0 ✺
04.07.24	CSKA Moscow - OFK Beograd	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.8 WTWLL
- Tekstilac Odžaci
Serbian Superliga
21.07.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - Vojvodina	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.24	Bačka Topola - Tekstilac Odžaci	3:2 ✺
22.06.24	Spartak Subotica - Tekstilac Odžaci	2:4 ✺
Serbian Superliga
03.06.24	Javor Ivanjica - Tekstilac Odžaci	1:1 ✺
29.05.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - Javor Ivanjica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
27.04.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - OFK Beograd	1:2
10.03.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - OFK Beograd	1:0
22.11.23	OFK Beograd - Tekstilac Odžaci	2:0

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