Match Info

FINLAND: KAKKONEN GROUP C

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday


	OTP		OLS

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.9	1.57
	4.2	4.35	1.55
	4.96	4.71	1.57
	4.75	4.33	1.55
	4.5	4.1	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.05)	4.28 ↑ (3.63)	1.56 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OTP
20.1%

Draw
21.4%

OLS
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.7%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OTP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OTP's form might have worsened.

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OLS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OTP than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OTP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OLS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

OTP - OLS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ponomarenko M. (G) 9. Adebowale B. 10. Ajayi O. 12. Aoyama T. 4. Edeh C. 20. Fathi J. 2. Hanhineva J. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 7. Saily D. 11. Simsek B. 27. Solomon A. S.	27. Kaikkonen N. (G) 43. Bulgakov D. 2. Collin E. 26. Ikonen L. 28. Kekonen N. 13. Lohela J. 46. Pekkala L. 11. Rafinha 47. Raittinen E. 45. Saarikoski V. 52. Torniainen A.
Substitutes
16. Hietala R. 14. Inalli A. 17. Loikkanen M. 3. Meglinski N. 26. Prince Kelechi E. 25. Ritola J. (G) 21. Sadeq A.	48. Kemila K. 51. Kemppainen J. 60. Makarainen H. 38. Merikanto E. 57. Palviainen A. (G) 41. Seppanen S. 42. Tiainen L.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently OLS have a series of home games.

In this match OLS is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches OTP won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams OTP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oulun Työväen Palloilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
20.05.23	JBK - OTP	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	OLS - OTP	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
13.05.23	OTP - Kuopion Elo	3:1 ✺
06.05.23	JS Hercules - OTP	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
29.04.23	OTP - GBK Kokkola	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWWLW
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
21.05.23	OLS - VIFK	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	OLS - OTP	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
14.05.23	OLS - GBK Kokkola	4:0 ✺
06.05.23	JBK - OLS	3:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.23	OLS - JS Hercules	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
17.05.23	OLS - OTP	2:3 penalties
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
01.10.22	OLS - OTP	1:2
15.07.22	OTP - OLS	1:3
15.10.21	OLS - OTP	2:4
30.06.21	OTP - OLS	2:0

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