Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BADEN-WÜRTTEMBERG - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Oberachern		Normannia Gmünd

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	2.8	Watch
	2.01	3.7	3.28
	1.95	3.7	2.88
	1.89	3.74	3.28
	2.1	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.55)	3.73 ↑ (3.2)	3.01 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oberachern
45.3%

Draw
24.4%

Normannia Gmünd
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oberachern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oberachern's performance.

Normannia Gmünd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Normannia Gmünd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberachern than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oberachern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Normannia Gmünd than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Normannia Gmünd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent matches Oberachern is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Normannia Gmünd is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Normannia Gmünd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oberachern won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Oberachern won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Oberachern
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
29.09.23	Nöttingen - Oberachern	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Oberachern - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:3 ✺
16.09.23	Bietigheim-Bissingen - Oberachern	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Oberachern - Denzlingen	5:0 ✺
02.09.23	VfR Mannheim - Oberachern	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWW
- Normannia Gmünd
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
23.09.23	Mutschelbach - Normannia Gmünd	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Normannia Gmünd - Villingen	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Normannia Gmünd - Offenburger	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Ravensburg - Normannia Gmünd	0:0 ✺
11.08.23	Normannia Gmünd - Holzhausen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
30.05.19	Normannia Gmünd - Oberachern	1:3
24.11.18	Oberachern - Normannia Gmünd	4:3

Oberachern - Normannia Gmünd

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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