Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BREMEN - ROUND 24

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Oberneuland		Komet Arsten

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	5
	1.47	5.15	4.88
	1.47	5.15	4.89
	1.43	4.95	5.13
	1.44	5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	5.05 ↑ (4.75)	4.98 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oberneuland
63.4%

Draw
18.2%

Komet Arsten
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

19.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

19.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oberneuland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oberneuland's performance.

Komet Arsten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Komet Arsten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberneuland than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oberneuland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Komet Arsten than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Komet Arsten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 🟥,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 14).

Oberneuland is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Komet Arsten is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Oberneuland is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oberneuland won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Oberneuland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oberneuland
German Oberliga Bremen
15.03.24	Oberneuland - TuRa Bremen	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Geestemünde - Oberneuland	1:4 ✺
23.02.24	Oberneuland - Woltmershausen	2:4 ✺
18.02.24	Union 60 Bremen - Oberneuland	3:3 ✺
09.02.24	Oberneuland - OSC Bremerhaven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLTL
- Komet Arsten
German Oberliga Bremen
16.03.24	Woltmershausen - Komet Arsten	1:5 ✺
02.03.24	OSC Bremerhaven - Komet Arsten	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Komet Arsten - Aumund-Vegesack	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Vatan Spor Bremen - Komet Arsten	2:4 ✺
11.02.24	Komet Arsten - Brinkumer	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bremen
07.10.23	Komet Arsten - Oberneuland	0:4
14.04.23	Komet Arsten - Oberneuland	0:3
04.11.22	Oberneuland - Komet Arsten	2:0

Oberneuland - Komet Arsten: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide