Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 6

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kalinga Stadium (Bhubaneswar)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Disney+ Hotstar, Sports18 2, Sports18 3, Sports18
World	JioTV app, Onefootball app


	Odisha		East Bengal

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.5
	1.89	3.7	3.6
	1.9	3.85	3.88
	1.86	3.79	3.81	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.4	Watch
	1.81	3.82	3.74	Watch
	1.89	3.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.94)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	3.64 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odisha
49.6%

Draw
25%

East Bengal
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odisha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

East Bengal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odisha than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Bengal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Odisha - East Bengal Predictions

Users Predictions: Odisha will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh A. (C) 4. Ranawade A. 24. Moirangthem T. 15. Fall M. 18. Lalrinzuala J. 10. Jahouh A. 8. Boumous H. 7. Puitea 17. Mawihmingthanga J. 21. Krishna R. 19. Vanlalruatfela I.	13. Singh Gill P. (G) 12. Rakip M. 4. Ali A. 19. Maher H. 3. Lakra P. 82. Puthiya Valappill V. 21. Crespo S. (C) 6. Jeakson Singh 8. Talal M. 11. Sekar N. 9. Diamantakos D.
Substitutes
25. Ali R. 5. Delgado C. 11. Fernandes R. 3. Gahlot N. 28. Gama S. 23. Kumar A. (G) 6. Kumar R. 9. Mauricio Diego 39. Naik N.	84. Banerjee S. 66. Besra S. 23. Chakrabarti S. 10. Cleiton Silva 5. Lalchungnunga 14. Lalhlansanga D. 24. Majumder D. (G) 33. Singh Gill G. 44. Yuste H.
Coaches
Lobera S.	Bruzon O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Maher H. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Krishna R. ⚽, Vanlalruatfela I. (A),
45+3', Moirangthem T. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Diamantakos D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Mawihmingthanga J. ↓, Ali R. ↑,
63', Puthiya Valappill V. ↓, Lalchungnunga ↑,
69', Lakra P. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Fall M. ⚽, Jahouh A. (A),
72', Talal M. ↓, Cleiton Silva ↑,
72', Maher H. ↓, Yuste H. ↑,
76', Lakra P. 🟨,
79', Boumous H. ↓, Delgado C. ↑,
79', Krishna R. ↓, Mauricio Diego ↑,
83', Rakip M. ↓, Banerjee S. ↑,
88', Puitea ↓, Kumar R. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches Odisha is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

East Bengal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

East Bengal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Odisha have a series of home games.

Odisha will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odisha won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Odisha won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odisha FC
Indian ISL
03.10.24	Odisha - Kerala Blasters	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Odisha - Jamshedpur	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Punjab - Odisha	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Odisha - Chennaiyin	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.24	Odisha - Brisbane Roar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLW
- East Bengal Club
Indian ISL
19.10.24	East Bengal - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Jamshedpur - East Bengal	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	East Bengal - Goa	2:3 ✺
22.09.24	Kerala Blasters - East Bengal	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Bengaluru - East Bengal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
29.02.24	Odisha - East Bengal	2:1
Indian Super Cup
28.01.24	East Bengal - Odisha	3:2 ET
Indian ISL
22.12.23	East Bengal - Odisha	0:0
Indian Super Cup
09.04.23	Odisha - East Bengal	1:1
Indian ISL
07.01.23	Odisha - East Bengal	3:1

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