Match Info

Date: 24 December 2021, Friday


	Odisha		Goa

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.05
	3.35	3.7	1.92
	3.53	4.05	1.93
	2.6	3.3	2.35
	3.4	3.88	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.66)	3.71 ↑ (3.46)	1.98 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odisha
28.5%

Draw
24.9%

Goa
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

19.1%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odisha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Odisha's form might have worsened.

Goa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Goa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odisha than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goa than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	13.9%	75%

Odisha - Goa Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Odisha will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Goa will win (votes: 27 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goa: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Odisha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Goa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Odisha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Goa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Odisha won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Odisha won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odisha football team
Indian ISL
18.12.21	Chennaiyin - Odisha	2:1 ✺
14.12.21	Odisha - Jamshedpur	0:4 ✺
10.12.21	Odisha - NorthEast United	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Kerala Blasters - Odisha	2:1 ✺
Indian Santosh Trophy
05.12.21	Jharkhand - Odisha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLT
- FC Goa
Indian ISL
18.12.21	Goa - Hyderabad	1:1 ✺
11.12.21	Goa - Bengaluru	2:1 ✺
07.12.21	East Bengal - Goa	3:4 ✺
04.12.21	NorthEast United - Goa	2:1 ✺
26.11.21	Goa - Jamshedpur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
17.02.21	Goa - Odisha	3:1
12.12.20	Odisha - Goa	0:1
29.01.20	Odisha - Goa	2:4
22.12.19	Goa - Odisha	3:0

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