Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 16 December 2024, Monday

Location: Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Medina)


	Ohud Medina		Al-Adalh

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	4.3	3.25	1.8
	4.6	3.17	1.85
	4.53	3.22	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.8
	4.6	2.99	1.83	Watch
	4.3	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (2.71)	3.18 ↑ (2.99)	1.8 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ohud Medina
20.6%

Draw
28.7%

Al-Adalh
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ohud Medina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ohud Medina's form might have worsened.

Al-Adalh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Adalh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohud Medina than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ohud Medina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Adalh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Ohud Medina - Al Adalh Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al-Adalh will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Adalh: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
4', 1 - 0, Al-Jizani F. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Okpotu A. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Atouchi A. ⚽,
22', 2 - 2, Al-Jizani F. ⚽,
40', 2 - 3, Okpotu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 2 - 4, Bensayah R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ohud won 0.

Ohud is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Adalh is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Al-Adalh is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ohud won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ohud won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ohud Medina
Saudi Division 1
10.12.24	Al-Batin - Ohud Medina	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Ohud Medina - Al-Zulfi	3:2 ✺
27.11.24	Ohud Medina - Al-Ain	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Al-Safa - Ohud Medina	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	Ohud Medina - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Al-Adalh FC
Saudi Division 1
10.12.24	Al-Adalh - Al-Taee	2:1 ✺
03.12.24	Al-Ain - Al-Adalh	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Al-Adalh - Al Jandal	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Al-Adalh - Al-Najma	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Abha - Al-Adalh	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.05.24	Al-Adalh - Ohud Medina	2:0
02.01.24	Ohud Medina - Al-Adalh	1:1
23.05.22	Al-Adalh - Ohud Medina	2:1
03.01.22	Ohud Medina - Al-Adalh	0:1
13.04.21	Al-Adalh - Ohud Medina	1:1
28.12.20	Ohud Medina - Al-Adalh	2:1

Ohud Medina - Al-Adalh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide