Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 23

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Olaines stadions (Olaine)


	Olaine		Super Nova

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.3	Watch
	7.43	5.39	1.3
	8.5	5.15	1.27
	7	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.48 ↑ (5.9)	5.14 ↓ (5.5)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaine
12.1%

Draw
17.7%

Super Nova
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

16.6%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

17.5%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olaine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Olaine - Super Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balodis P. (G) 17. Berzins N. 8. Bokans E. 4. Butlers R. 77. Chernozub O. 7. Kasica D. 11. Pacepko M. 18. Ruja K. (C) 23. Susko D. 5. Tkachenko Y. 15. Vinogradovs J.	99. Bite K. (G) 42. Artjomovs K. 26. Diallo B. 16. Ivanovs E. 47. Komorovskis K. 3. Mamich D. 9. Silagailis H. 22. Skadmanis K. 20. Strupiss K. 15. Tihonovics M. 6. Vejkrigers D. (C)
Substitutes
35. Antipenkovs I. (G) 2. Gegers E. 9. Hartmanis D. 30. Kagainis E. 16. Kaupe D. 14. Marinaki T. 20. Zemlinskis A.	88. Abramenko T. 13. Butovskis A. 32. Cevers R. 94. Denisovs A. 29. Maculevics K. (G) 77. Muradjans A. 30. Penka R. 17. Sula D. 21. Zengis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Susko D. ⚽, Berzins N. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Chernozub O. (Own goal),
36', 1 - 2, Silagailis H. ⚽,
40', Tkachenko Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Butlers R. 🟨,
55', Komorovskis K. ↓, Penka R. ↑,
60', Ruja K. 🟨,
66', Tihonovics M. ↓, Cevers R. ↑,
70', Kasica D. ↓, Marinaki T. ↑,
73', Silagailis H. ↓, Sula D. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Strupiss K. ⚽,
80', Artjomovs K. ↓, Muradjans A. ↑,
83', Diallo B. ↓, Zengis R. ↑,
86', Chernozub O. ↓, Kaupe D. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Sula D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFA Olaine
Latvian 1 Liga
13.10.24	Olaine - JFK Ventspils	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Olaine - Tukums 2000 2	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Ogre United - Olaine	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Olaine - Mārupe	5:1 ✺
21.09.24	Smiltene - Olaine	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWW
- Super Nova FC
Latvian 1 Liga
05.10.24	Super Nova - Valmiera 2	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	JFK Ventspils - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Super Nova - Tukums 2000 2	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Super Nova	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Rēzekne - Super Nova	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
29.06.24	Super Nova - Olaine	4:1

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