Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca 2 - Round 7

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday


	Olaria		Artsul

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4
	1.9	3.1	4.17
	1.89	3.13	4.17
	1.88	3.16	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	4.09 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaria
48.8%

Draw
28.9%

Artsul
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Artsul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaria than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Olaria - Artsul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Macario ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Denilson ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Antonio Carlos ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Yan Suhet ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
83', 3 - 2, Hebert ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, Carvalho G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).

Recent matches Olaria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Artsul is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Artsul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olaria is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Olaria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Olaria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olaria AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
23.06.24	Cabofriense - Olaria	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	Olaria - Petrópolis	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Olaria	1:2 ✺
01.06.24	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
29.05.24	Olaria - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLL
- Artsul FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.06.24	Artsul - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
15.06.24	Maricá - Artsul	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Artsul - Resende	2:2 ✺
02.06.24	America RJ - Artsul	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Artsul - Araruama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
08.07.23	Olaria - Artsul	1:1
28.07.22	Artsul - Olaria	0:3
28.10.20	Olaria - Artsul	2:2

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