Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 20

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Oldenburg		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	2.18	3.6	2.9
	2.19	3.5	3.03
	2.14	3.49	2.99
	2.25	3.6	2.6
	2.1	3.5	2.97
	2.18	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.75)	3.54 ↓ (3.82)	2.87 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
42.2%

Draw
25.9%

Phönix Lübeck
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

24.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

23.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldenburg's performance.

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phönix Lübeck might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phönix Lübeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oldenburg - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 1 - 0, Moschl P. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Berger J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Ganda J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 2, Loubongo-M'Boungou A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:9 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Oldenburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German Regionalliga North
17.11.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Oldenburg	1:4 ✺
09.11.24	Oldenburg - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Oldenburg - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lübeck - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Oldenburg - Jeddeloh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTTL
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
17.11.24	Phönix Lübeck - Blau-Weiß Lohne	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Kickers Emden - Phönix Lübeck	0:3 ✺
03.11.24	Phönix Lübeck - Meppen	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	1:9 ✺
20.10.24	Phönix Lübeck - Eintracht Norderstedt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
10.08.24	Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg	3:1
26.11.23	Oldenburg - Phönix Lübeck	1:1
16.08.23	Phönix Lübeck - Oldenburg	5:1

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