Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 9

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Arcanjo (Olhão) 🌤️ ...


	Olhanense		Oriental Dragon

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.6	1.6
	4.7	3.4	1.6
	4.6	3.7	1.61
	5.78	3.91	1.56
	5.55	3.82	1.52
	4.7	3.8	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (3.18)	3.71 ↑ (3.02)	1.59 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olhanense
18.2%

Draw
24.5%

Oriental Dragon
57.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.1%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

29.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olhanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olhanense's form might have worsened.

Oriental Dragon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriental Dragon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olhanense than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olhanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriental Dragon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Olhanense - Oriental Dragon Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Olhanense will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Oriental Dragon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oriental Dragon: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Olhanense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oriental Dragon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oriental Dragon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Olhanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Olhanense - Ferreiras	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Olhanense	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Olhanense - Rabo de Peixe	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Angrense - Olhanense	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Olhanense - Atlético CP	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Oriental Dragon FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Oriental Dragon - Fabril do Barreiro	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Rabo de Peixe - Oriental Dragon	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Oriental Dragon - Angrense	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Atlético CP - Oriental Dragon	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Oriental Dragon - Serpa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTL

Olhanense - Oriental Dragon

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Olhanense - Oriental Dragon Predictions

Preview

Form

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