Match Info

Division 2 - Round 24

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Elbląg		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.93
	3.1	3.2	2.14
	3.36	3.23	2.18	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.22	3.33	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.6)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	2.1 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
27.9%

Draw
28.4%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.5%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chojniczanka Chojnice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Users Predictions: Chojniczanka Chojnice will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Witan A. (G) 6. Czernis M. 5. Gorecki K. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 21. Lorenc M. 3. Matynia H. (C) 20. Semeniv D. 7. Skwierczynski K. 16. Szalecki D. 30. Wierzba D. 17. Zielinski W.	29. Primel D. (G) 2. Bakowicz M. 5. Czajka B. 16. Kacerik A. 79. Kozina M. 66. Olejnik P. 11. Stefaniak M. 7. Szczepanek B. 3. Yukhymovych D. 8. Zylla M. 31. Zywicki J.
Substitutes
12. Czaplinski D. 15. Fyk O. 26. Jasinski M. 19. Kozera D. 25. Sznajder F. 13. Tobojka M. 14. Tyaglo O. 1. Valion A. (G) 10. Yatsenko O.	1. Antkowiak M. (G) 9. Biskup M. 30. Golebiowski R. 21. Golinski J. 91. Korczyc K. 34. Nowacki D. 24. Romanik J. 18. Sajdak P. 19. Tkocz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Kordykiewicz O. ⚽,
42', Zylla M. ↓, Biskup M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zywicki J. ↓, Romanik J. ↑,
46', Kacerik A. ↓, Golebiowski R. ↑,
59', Szczepanek B. 🟨,
69', Olejnik P. ↓, Golinski J. ↑,
69', Czajka B. ↓, Tkocz M. ↑,
77', 🟨,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 1.

Elbląg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chojniczanka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chojniczanka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
23.03.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
23.03.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	KKS Kalisz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
07.03.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - ŁKS Łódź II	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Gryf Słupsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
01.09.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0
25.05.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1
11.11.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1
15.05.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1
06.11.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1
21.03.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0
19.09.20	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0

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