Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 4

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Widzew Łódź II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.40	2.60
	2.40	3.25	2.50
	2.21	3.57	2.69
	2.15	3.66	2.82	Watch
	2.15	3.50	2.65
	2.38	3.73	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.44)	3.52 ↑ (3.51)	2.63 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
40%

Draw
25.7%

Widzew Łódź II
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Widzew Łódź II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź II than the current prediction. (+3%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Ratajczyk A. ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Ratajczyk A. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Elbląg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Widzew Lodz II	10	4	2	4	21:18	3	14
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Elbląg - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.12%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
31.07.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Wda Świecie - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTT
- Widzew Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Widzew Łódź II	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Troszyn	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Widzew Łódź II	2:5 ✺
11.07.26	Widzew Łódź II - Baník Ostrava B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.26	Widzew Łódź II - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0
18.10.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	3:3

Upcoming Matches