Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Olimpic Sarajevo		Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.33	1.28
	7.75	4.75	1.3
	8.5	4.2	1.28
	8.2	4.5	1.31
	10.41	4.51	1.34
	10	4.6	1.27
	8	4.9	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.91 ↑ (6.5)	4.54 ↑ (4.05)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpic Sarajevo
10.2%

Draw
20%

Sarajevo
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

22.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

18.5%

77.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpic Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarajevo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpic Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarajevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpic Sarajevo - Sarajevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation to FBiH and 2 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Olimpic Sarajevo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sarajevo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sarajevo is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Olimpic Sarajevo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpic Sarajevo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpic Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
12.09.20	Olimpic Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Mladost Doboj Kakanj - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
23.08.20	Tuzla City - Olimpic Sarajevo	3:2 ✺
12.08.20	Krupa - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
08.08.20	Olimpic Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLL
- FK Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
11.09.20	Sarajevo - Borac Banja Luka	4:2 ✺
31.08.20	Radnik Bijeljina - Sarajevo	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.20	Dinamo Brest - Sarajevo	2:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
23.08.20	Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.08.20	Gap Connahs Quay - Sarajevo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
04.03.17	Olimpic Sarajevo - Sarajevo	0:1
18.09.16	Sarajevo - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:0
15.05.16	Sarajevo - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:3
08.11.15	Olimpic Sarajevo - Sarajevo	1:3
22.04.15	Olimpic Sarajevo - Sarajevo	0:1
20.09.14	Sarajevo - Olimpic Sarajevo	4:2
09.03.14	Sarajevo - Olimpic Sarajevo	1:1

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