Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Olimpik Donetsk		Desna Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.05	3.3	2.09
	3.22	3.54	2.21
	3.2	3.3	2.2
	3.14	3.52	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.36)	3.42 ↓ (3.48)	2.11 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpik Donetsk
29.2%

Draw
27%

Desna Chernihiv
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.7%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

17.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpik Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpik Donetsk than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpik Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desna Chernihiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	12.9%	54.8%

Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Olimpik will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Desna will win (votes: 17 - 54.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Desna: 37.3% – 72.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Desna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Olimpik won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpik won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpik Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Oleksandriya	3:2 ✺
27.09.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Olimpik Donetsk	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Mynai	3:0 ✺
12.09.20	Dnipro-1 - Olimpik Donetsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWW
- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.20	Dnipro-1 - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
04.10.20	Desna Chernihiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.09.20	Desna Chernihiv - Rukh Lviv	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
27.09.20	Desna Chernihiv - Rukh Lviv	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Wolfsburg - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
04.03.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	1:2
05.10.19	Desna Chernihiv - Olimpik Donetsk	1:0
12.05.19	Desna Chernihiv - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1
06.04.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	0:2
09.12.18	Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	1:1
02.09.18	Desna Chernihiv - Olimpik Donetsk	0:1
Club Friendly
28.06.18	Desna Chernihiv - Olimpik Donetsk	0:1

Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide