Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Oliveira do Douro		Florgrade

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.45
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.71	2.82	2.5
	3.04	2.81	2.55
	2.96	2.93	2.4
	2.9	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.12)	2.85 ↓ (3.2)	2.48 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira do Douro
31.7%

Draw
31.8%

Florgrade
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira do Douro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliveira do Douro's form might have worsened.

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florgrade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira do Douro than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveira do Douro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveira do Douro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Oliveira do Douro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.01.24	Gondomar - Oliveira do Douro	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Oliveira do Douro - Beira-Mar	1:3 ✺
07.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Oliveira do Douro	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Amarante - Oliveira do Douro	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Oliveira do Douro - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWTT
- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.01.24	Florgrade - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Florgrade - Vila Meã	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Florgrade - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gondomar - Florgrade	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.09.23	Florgrade - Oliveira do Douro	0:0

Oliveira do Douro - Florgrade: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide