Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 12

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Rydets IP (Onsala)


	Onsala		Lunds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.53
	4.75	4.2	1.55
	4.5	4.47	1.59
	4.35	4.47	1.6
	4.8	4	1.5
	4.91	4.2	1.57	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↓ (6.9)	4.23 ↑ (3.93)	1.56 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Onsala
19.7%

Draw
21.6%

Lunds
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

22.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

22.3%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Onsala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Onsala's performance.

Lunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Onsala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Onsala - Lunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lunds will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Isero I. (G) 9. Andersson V. 2. Bjornberg H. 13. Borjesson A. 12. Glaerum V. 4. Jarnvik J. (C) 6. Johansson M. 3. Levinson A. 16. Nygaard A. 19. Parker S. 14. Wennergrund F.	1. Alexandersson A. (G) 5. Andersson J. 8. Kamp A. (C) 4. Larsson K. 13. Maarouf S. 7. Nilsson A. 16. Olofsson D. 26. Orajarvi I. 23. Thellsson C. W. I. 77. Tipura S. 2. Velickovic B.
Substitutes
5. Heaver S. 20. Heed L. 15. Hilvenius V. 17. Jedenberg H. 23. Olofsson V. 1. Sandstrom M. (G) 21. Wennergrund M.	24. Efendic R. 31. Ekblom V. 17. Lindfors S. 3. Nicklasson L. 9. Olsson L. 15. Saganger G. 32. Ture Fordham P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Parker S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Levinson A. ⚽, Bjornberg H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Olofsson D. ↓, Ekblom V. ↑,
61', Thellsson C. W. I. ↓, Olsson L. ↑,
65', Parker S. ↓, Olofsson V. ↑,
65', Nygaard A. ↓, Wennergrund M. ↑,
72', Tipura S. 🟨,
74', Borjesson A. 🟨,
77', Nilsson A. ↓, Efendic R. ↑,
77', Maarouf S. ↓, Lindfors S. ↑,
83', Velickovic B. ↓, Saganger G. ↑,
86', Orajarvi I. 🟨,
86', Andersson V. 🟨,
90', Glaerum V. ↓, Heaver S. ↑,
90+3', Andersson V. ↓, Hilvenius V. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: )).

Onsala is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lunds in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lunds is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
01.06.24	Ängelholm - Onsala	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Onsala - Torslanda	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Onsala - Norrby	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Torn - Onsala	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Eskilsminne - Onsala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLL
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
01.06.24	Lunds - Jönköpings Södra	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Olympic - Lunds	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Lunds - Tvååker	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Norrby - Lunds	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Oskarshamn - Lunds	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWT

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