Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Ontinyent 1931		Soneja

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.35
	1.19	5.77	14.81	Watch
	1.75	3.24	4.55
	1.82	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)	3.9 ↑ (3.35)	6.93 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontinyent 1931
60.5%

Draw
25.2%

Soneja
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

21.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontinyent 1931 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ontinyent 1931's performance.

Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Soneja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ontinyent 1931 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Soneja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Juanan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ontinyent 1931 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Soneja has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ontinyent 1931 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ontinyent 1931 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ontinyent 1931 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ontinyent 1931 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontinyent 1931 CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.10.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Utiel	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vall de Uxó - Ontinyent 1931	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Alzira	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Español de San Vicente - Ontinyent 1931	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Roda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLL
- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
25.10.25	Soneja - Villarreal C	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	La Nucía - Soneja	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Soneja - Crevillente Deportivo	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético Saguntino - Soneja	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Buñol - Soneja	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
10.05.25	Soneja - Ontinyent 1931	1:1
12.01.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	0:1
28.01.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	2:0

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