Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Diaz Arena (Oostende)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)


	Oostende		Seraing

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.18	3.45	3.05
	2.22	3.67	3.1
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.18	3.6	2.96	Watch
	2.13	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (3.43)	3.5 ↓ (3.67)	3.01 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oostende
42.8%

Draw
26.4%

Seraing
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

23.8%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oostende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oostende's performance.

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seraing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oostende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seraing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Oostende - Seraing Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Oostende will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Seraing will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oostende: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bossin L. (G) 2. Vinck J. 33. Tanghe A. (C) 4. Basila T. 5. Laes B. 16. Dewaele S. 19. Osifo M. 29. D'Haese R. 18. Henderson E. 17. Fuentes J. 77. Atanga D.	61. Sy P. 28. Spago E. 23. Lepoint C. 99. Dembele M. 97. Raillot L. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 10. Cachbach M. 29. Kebe O. 9. Fall P. 11. Soumah-Abbad E. 43. Douane M.
Substitutes
23. Amade A. 90. Berte M. 13. Gabriel B. (G) 93. Hammas A. 20. Musayev A. 9. Perez D. 36. Wylin S.	49. Camara M. 25. Diarra D. 14. Guillaume V. 16. Margueron L. (G) 7. Serwy N. 6. Solheid N. 17. Tremoulet S.
Coaches
Vreven S.	Proment G.

Preview

Oostende has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Seraing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oostende could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oostende will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oostende won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Oostende
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.08.23	RFC Liège - Oostende	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Deinze - Oostende	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Oostende - Lommel	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Oostende - Almere City	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Roda - Oostende	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.08.23	Seraing - Zulte Waregem	0:5 ✺
19.08.23	Beveren - Seraing	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	Seraing - Standard Liège U23	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.23	URSL Vise - Seraing	3:0 ✺
21.07.23	Union Rochefortoise - Seraing	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.01.23	Oostende - Seraing	1:2
08.10.22	Seraing - Oostende	1:1
02.04.22	Oostende - Seraing	2:2
14.08.21	Seraing - Oostende	2:3

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