Match Info

ChNL - Round 11

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Simply Arena (Opava)

Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Chnliga.tv, Sporty TV


	Opava		Sparta Prague B

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.5	3.95	5.15
	1.52	4.45	5.6
	1.50	4.33	5.66	Watch
	1.5	3.95	5.59	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	4.01 ↑ (3.83)	5.33 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Opava
59.9%

Draw
22.9%

Sparta Prague B
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Opava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sparta Prague B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Opava than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague B than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Opava - Sparta Prague B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Opava (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Opava will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Opava will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Opava (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Babka M. (G) 22. Helesic M. 6. Janoscin J. (C) 23. Lehoczki O. 26. Ndiaye E. H. 14. Novak M. 19. Papalele 29. Rezek J. 4. Srubek J. 21. Turanjanin N. 20. Zalesak R.	42. Rodriguez P. (G) 16. Feit J. 8. Jedlicka M. (C) 27. Mensah I. 12. Mokrovics R. 29. Moudry L. 26. Riha F. 10. Schanelec T. 2. Tesar S. 6. Tosnar J. 17. Zika P.
Substitutes
40. Abdullahi H. 3. Buchta A. 31. Ciupa J. (G) 13. Fabianek J. 9. Lacik B. 99. Mootoo W. 10. Muzik L. 11. Rataj T. 27. Sochor A.	44. Kerl Dom. (G) 30. Penxa O. 3. Slanina P. 13. Sochurek H. 24. Topic J. 15. Vanek J. 21. Vitarigov A.
Coaches
Nadvornik R.	Loucka L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Ndiaye E. H. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Srubek J. ⚽,
37', Babka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tesar S. ↓, Topic J. ↑,
46', Feit J. ↓, Penxa O. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Turanjanin N. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Papalele ⚽,
63', Rezek J. ↓, Muzik L. ↑,
71', Lehoczki O. 🟨,
78', Mokrovics R. ↓, Vitarigov A. ↑,
78', Tosnar J. ↓, Sochurek H. ↑,
81', Papalele ↓, Lacik B. ↑,
81', Zalesak R. ↓, Sochor A. ↑,
86', Srubek J. 🟨,
87', Schanelec T. ↓, Vanek J. ↑,
88', Novak M. ↓, Mootoo W. ↑,
88', Lehoczki O. ↓, Fabianek J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Promotion: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Opava won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sparta Prague B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Opava is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Opava won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Opava won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Opava
Czech Division 2
21.09.25	Slavia Prague B - Opava	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Opava - Baník Ostrava B	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Opava - Vlašim	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Vysočina Jihlava - Opava	0:0 ✺
Czech Cup
13.08.25	Sokol Lanžhot - Opava	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWTL
- Sparta Prague B
Czech Division 2
13.09.25	Artis Brno - Sparta Prague B	5:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sparta Prague B - Táborsko	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Dynamo České Budějovice - Sparta Prague B	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Vlašim - Sparta Prague B	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Sparta Prague B - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
09.03.25	Sparta Prague B - Opava	1:1
04.08.24	Opava - Sparta Prague B	4:2
12.04.24	Opava - Sparta Prague B	3:2
03.09.23	Sparta Prague B - Opava	0:0
19.04.23	Opava - Sparta Prague B	1:2
18.09.22	Sparta Prague B - Opava	1:0
06.05.22	Sparta Prague B - Opava	1:2

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