Match Info

BRAZIL: AMAZONENSE - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Operário		Nacional AM

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.9
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.43	3.09	1.9
	3.43	3.09	1.91
	3.6	3.3	1.94
	3.55	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.15)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	1.92 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário
25.6%

Draw
27.8%

Nacional AM
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.7%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

26.7%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Brito ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Bacabal V. ⚽,
41', Bacabal V. 🟥,
45+1', 2 - 1, Alexandre Melo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Ivanzinho 🟥,
67', Toro 🟥,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Operário has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nacional AM is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Operário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nacional AM will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nacional AM to win the game is with odds 2.1.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Operário won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Manacapuru
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
17.03.24	Amazonas - Operário	3:1 ✺
07.03.24	Operário - Unidos do Alvorada	1:4 ✺
11.02.24	Amazonas - Operário	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Manauara - Operário	2:1 ✺
29.01.24	Operário - São Raimundo Manaus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nacional AM
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
20.03.24	Nacional AM - Unidos do Alvorada	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Nacional AM - Manaus	1:1 ✺
29.02.24	Amazonas - Nacional AM	0:0 ✺
16.02.24	Amazonas - Nacional AM	2:1 ✺
06.02.24	Atlético Rio Negro - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
09.02.23	Nacional AM - Operário	1:0
06.02.22	Operário - Nacional AM	0:1

Operário - Nacional AM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide