Match Info

Nadeshiko League Women - Round 9

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Orca Kamogawa		Setagaya Sfida

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.1	2.82
	2.33	3.35	2.86
	2.19	3.06	3.24	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.26	3.2	2.89	Watch
	2.8	3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.8)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.83 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orca Kamogawa
38.5%

Draw
29.3%

Setagaya Sfida
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orca Kamogawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orca Kamogawa's performance.

Setagaya Sfida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Setagaya Sfida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orca Kamogawa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orca Kamogawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setagaya Sfida than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Setagaya Sfida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orca Kamogawa - Setagaya Sfida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Kono Y. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orca Kamogawa won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Setagaya Sfida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orca Kamogawa won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Orca Kamogawa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Orca Kamogawa W	19	9	6	4	27:15	12	33
9	Setagaya Sfida FC W	20	6	5	9	29:33	-4	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orca Kamogawa
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
02.05.26	NGU Loveledge Nagoya - Orca Kamogawa	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Orca Kamogawa - VONDS Ichihara	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Shizuoka Bonita - Orca Kamogawa	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Orca Kamogawa - Okayama Yunogo Belle	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Orca Kamogawa - Nippon Sport Science University	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLTW
- Setagaya Sfida
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
03.05.26	Setagaya Sfida - VONDS Ichihara	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Nippon Sport Science University - Setagaya Sfida	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Setagaya Sfida - NGU Loveledge Nagoya	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	IGA Kunoichi - Setagaya Sfida	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls - Setagaya Sfida	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Nadeshiko League Women
07.06.25	Setagaya Sfida - Orca Kamogawa	1:2
29.03.25	Orca Kamogawa - Setagaya Sfida	0:0
01.09.24	Orca Kamogawa - Setagaya Sfida	1:1
28.04.24	Setagaya Sfida - Orca Kamogawa	2:2
11.06.23	Orca Kamogawa - Setagaya Sfida	1:1
02.04.23	Setagaya Sfida - Orca Kamogawa	2:3
08.10.22	Setagaya Sfida - Orca Kamogawa	4:2

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