Match Info

RUSSIA: Youth League - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Orenburg U19		Rostov U19

	1	X	2
	9.3	5.52	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.3 ↑ (7.2)	5.52 ↑ (4.47)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg U19
9.8%

Draw
16.5%

Rostov U19
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

20.7%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

20%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Rostov U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg U19 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov U19 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Nguyen V. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Youth League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Youth League (Championship Group: )).

Orenburg U19 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rostov U19 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Rostov U19 is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Orenburg U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg U19
Russian Youth League
10.05.24	Orenburg U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:5 ✺
03.05.24	Zenit Petersburg U19 - Orenburg U19	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Ural U19 - Orenburg U19	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Orenburg U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	0:3 ✺
12.04.24	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Orenburg U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLLW
- FK Rostov U19
Russian Youth League
10.05.24	Rostov U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	3:1 ✺
03.05.24	CSKA Moscow U19 - Rostov U19	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Rostov U19	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Rostov U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	3:1 ✺
12.04.24	Zenit Petersburg U19 - Rostov U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
08.03.24	Rostov U19 - Orenburg U19	3:0
27.10.23	Orenburg U19 - Rostov U19	1:2

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