Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Oriental Dragon		Praiense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.82	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.29	4.21
	1.85	3.46	3.9
	1.78	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.16)	3.3 ↑ (3.07)	4.06 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental Dragon
50.1%

Draw
27.6%

Praiense
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental Dragon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriental Dragon's performance.

Praiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Praiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental Dragon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Praiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

Oriental Dragon is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Praiense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oriental Dragon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oriental Dragon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oriental Dragon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Oriental Dragon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental Dragon FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Oriental Dragon	3:3 ✺
19.03.23	Ferreiras - Oriental Dragon	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Oriental Dragon - Olhanense	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental Dragon	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Oriental Dragon - Rabo de Peixe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWTW
- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Praiense - Olhanense	5:0 ✺
25.03.23	Praiense - Rabo de Peixe	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Praiense	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Angrense - Praiense	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Praiense - Atlético CP	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.01.23	Praiense - Oriental Dragon	1:1
03.04.21	Oriental Dragon - Praiense	3:0
03.01.21	Praiense - Oriental Dragon	2:0

Oriental Dragon - Praiense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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