Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 20

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Orihuela		Rayo Ibense

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.75	11.5
	1.22	4.6	9
	1.17	5.64	13.7
	1.22	5.3	12.75
	1.22	5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.45)	5.06 ↑ (4)	11.79 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
74.5%

Draw
17.9%

Rayo Ibense
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.5%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orihuela's performance.

Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Ibense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Ibense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orihuela - Rayo Ibense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs) and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Rayo Ibense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Orihuela is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Orihuela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.02.23	Roda - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Español de San Vicente - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Orihuela - Acero	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Orihuela - Silla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTLW
- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.02.23	Rayo Ibense - Hércules B	4:0 ✺
29.01.23	Villarreal C - Rayo Ibense	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Rayo Ibense - Atzeneta	0:4 ✺
15.01.23	Gandía - Rayo Ibense	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Patacona - Rayo Ibense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.10.22	Rayo Ibense - Orihuela	0:2
26.01.19	Rayo Ibense - Orihuela	0:1
09.09.18	Orihuela - Rayo Ibense	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
02.12.17	Orihuela - Rayo Ibense	4:1

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