Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday


	Orkla FK		Steinkjer

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.4	3.7
	1.68	4.21	3.59
	1.67	4.6	3.74
	1.62	4.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.02)	4.43 ↑ (4)	3.76 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orkla FK
55.2%

Draw
20.6%

Steinkjer
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

22.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orkla FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orkla FK's performance.

Steinkjer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steinkjer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orkla FK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steinkjer than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steinkjer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orkla FK - Steinkjer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orkla won 1.

Recent matches Orkla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Steinkjer is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orkla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Orkla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Orkla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
29.07.23	Kolstad - Orkla FK	0:2 ✺
22.07.23	Orkla FK - Strindheim	3:6 ✺
24.06.23	Orkla FK - Verdal	6:2 ✺
18.06.23	Bodø Glimt 2 - Orkla FK	9:0 ✺
10.06.23	Orkla FK - Rana	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWLL
- Steinkjer FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
30.07.23	Steinkjer - Bodø Glimt 2	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Rana - Steinkjer	5:1 ✺
24.06.23	Steinkjer - Trønder-Lyn	1:4 ✺
18.06.23	Nardo - Steinkjer	8:0 ✺
10.06.23	Steinkjer - Kolstad	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
15.04.23	Steinkjer - Orkla FK	4:3
20.08.22	Steinkjer - Orkla FK	1:1
14.05.22	Orkla FK - Steinkjer	0:1
03.08.19	Orkla FK - Steinkjer	6:0
11.05.19	Steinkjer - Orkla FK	1:1
04.08.18	Steinkjer - Orkla FK	3:2
14.04.18	Orkla FK - Steinkjer	3:6

Orkla FK - Steinkjer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide