Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 5 - ROUND 7

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday


	Orkla FK		Tiller

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.5	1.53
	3.8	4.5	1.55
	4.12	4.51	1.54
	4.6	4	1.5
	4.6	4.65	1.53
	4.5	4.75	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (2.68)	4.49 ↑ (4.2)	1.53 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orkla FK
21%

Draw
20.1%

Tiller
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

21.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

21.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orkla FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orkla FK's form might have worsened.

Tiller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orkla FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orkla won 3.

Orkla has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tiller is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tiller is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Orkla won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Orkla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
14.05.23	Rosenborg II - Orkla FK	5:0 ✺
06.05.23	Orkla FK - Byåsen	0:6 ✺
29.04.23	Nardo - Orkla FK	4:1 ✺
22.04.23	Orkla FK - Mosjøen	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Steinkjer - Orkla FK	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
14.05.23	Tiller - Kristiansund 2	5:1 ✺
06.05.23	Steinkjer - Tiller	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Tiller - Verdal	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Bodø Glimt 2 - Tiller	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Tiller - Kolstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
03.09.22	Orkla FK - Tiller	4:3
04.06.22	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:3
Club Friendly
10.03.22	Orkla FK - Tiller	2:5
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
23.10.21	Tiller - Orkla FK	4:0
26.10.19	Orkla FK - Tiller	4:1
27.04.19	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:0

Orkla FK - Tiller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide