Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Oryol		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.73	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)	2.73 ↓ (2.77)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oryol
33.5%

Draw
32.9%

Avangard Kursk
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

32.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Oryol - Avangard Kursk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Oshkin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Avangard Kursk has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Oryol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kursk	26	8	8	10	31:38	-7	32
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.05.26	Oryol - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ryazan - Oryol	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Oryol - Rotor 2	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kvant Obninsk - Oryol	1:5 ✺
11.04.26	Oryol - Salyut Belgorod	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTWT
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Avangard Kursk	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Avangard Kursk - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Avangard Kursk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
21.08.24	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	0:2
Russian PFL Center
25.08.16	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	0:0
25.10.15	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	0:1
03.08.15	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	1:0
Russian Cup
16.07.15	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	2:0
Russian PFL Center
30.05.15	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	4:1
11.10.14	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	3:1

Oryol - Avangard Kursk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide