Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 6

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Osasco Sporting		Sertãozinho

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.98	3.65
	2.11	2.93	3.72
	2.08	2.95	3.67	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.8
	1.98	2.9	3.98	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.23)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.74 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasco Sporting
44.7%

Draw
30.9%

Sertãozinho
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertãozinho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Osasco Sporting - Sertãozinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Matheus Prado ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Buga ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Luketa ⚽,
90+2', Buga 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Osasco Sporting is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osasco Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.01.26	Piracicaba - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Osasco Sporting - São José-SP	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Grêmio Prudente - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	Taubaté - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
09.01.26	Osasco Sporting - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWTTT
- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.01.26	Água Santa - Sertãozinho	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Sertãozinho - Grêmio Prudente	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Sertãozinho - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Piracicaba - Sertãozinho	3:4 ✺
10.01.26	Sertãozinho - Taubaté	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.05.21	Sertãozinho - Osasco Sporting	1:2

Osasco Sporting - Sertãozinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide