Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 21

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday


	Osdorf		Altona

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.5
	4.2	4.2	1.5
	4.3	4.1	1.53
	4.27	4.55	1.62
	4.6	3.8	1.53
	4.6	4.3	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↓ (6)	4.16 ↓ (4.95)	1.54 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osdorf
20%

Draw
21.6%

Altona
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

18%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

17.7%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osdorf's performance.

Altona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osdorf than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Osdorf - Altona Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Osdorf will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Altona will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osdorf: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Osdorf is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Altona is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Altona is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osdorf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Osdorf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Osdorf
German Oberliga Hamburg
19.11.22	Curslack Neuengamme - Osdorf	3:3 ✺
11.11.22	TuRa Harksheide - Osdorf	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Osdorf - HEBC Hamburg	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Süderelbe - Osdorf	2:2 ✺
21.10.22	Osdorf - Rugenbergen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTTL
- Altonaer FC von 1893
German Oberliga Hamburg
19.11.22	Altona - Union Tornesch	5:2 ✺
12.11.22	Curslack Neuengamme - Altona	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Altona - TuRa Harksheide	1:0 ✺
02.11.22	Altona - Eimsbütteler	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	HEBC Hamburg - Altona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
06.08.22	Altona - Osdorf	2:1
01.03.19	Osdorf - Altona	1:3
09.09.18	Altona - Osdorf	2:0
10.02.17	Osdorf - Altona	2:0
14.08.16	Altona - Osdorf	2:1

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