Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Oskarshamn (Oskarshamn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Oskarshamn		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.95	1.52
	5.82	4.23	1.52
	4.45	2.73	2.06	Watch
	5.46	3.94	1.55
	3.93	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.85)	3.7 ↑ (3.63)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oskarshamn
18.7%

Draw
25.5%

Jönköpings Södra
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.3%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oskarshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oskarshamn's form might have worsened.

Jönköpings Södra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oskarshamn than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Oskarshamn - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jönköping (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hartmann M. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 10. Alnator T. 19. Arvidsson G. 6. Blomdahl O. (C) 14. Hellborg A. 77. Navik L. 9. Nyholm A. 12. Pettersson B. L. 7. Podrimcaku A. 27. Renato	1. Eriksson A. (G) 12. Benatallah F. 6. Crona S. 18. Drott J. (C) 2. Eek L. 7. Ellbring I. 15. Eriksson A. 4. Karlsson A. 11. Kiwarkis A. 13. Lyck H. 9. Lyck L.
Substitutes
30. Basic M. (G) 17. Davoudi-Kia A. 11. Larsson A. 16. Masangane K. 15. Nilsson V. 8. Olaniyan O. 13. Stenman F.	20. Farnerud C. 22. Grauberg K. 14. Hellstrom C. 16. Israelsson H. 10. Kozica D. 3. Markovski D. 30. Svensson S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hellborg A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Ellbring I. ↓, Israelsson H. ↑,
62', Benatallah F. 🟨,
62', Navik L. 🟨,
64', Nyholm A. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
69', Benatallah F. ↓, Grauberg K. ↑,
83', Alnator T. 🟨,
83', Crona S. 🟨,
83', Alnator T. ↓, Nilsson V. ↑,
86', Kiwarkis A. ↓, Kozica D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).

Oskarshamn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jönköping is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Jönköping is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oskarshamn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Oskarshamn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oskarshamns AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.10.25	Eskilsminne - Oskarshamn	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Oskarshamn - IFK Skövde	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Oskarshamn - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Rosengård 1917 - Oskarshamn	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Oskarshamn - Husqvarna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.10.25	Jönköpings Södra - Skövde AIK	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Hässleholm - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Jönköpings Södra - Husqvarna	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Lunds - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Olympic - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
14.06.25	Jönköpings Södra - Oskarshamn	1:0
03.11.24	Jönköpings Södra - Oskarshamn	0:0
05.06.24	Oskarshamn - Jönköpings Södra	1:2
Club Friendly
26.03.23	Jönköpings Södra - Oskarshamn	Canceled
Svenska Cupen
19.08.15	Oskarshamn - Jönköpings Södra	0:1

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