Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Ospitaletto		Bra

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.22	3.2	3
	2.24	3.2	2.88
	2.19	3.3	3.04
	2.29	3.33	3.02
	2.22	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	2.92 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
40.3%

Draw
28.4%

Bra
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Ospitaletto - Bra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bra (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Perseu F. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Mozzanica J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Ospitaletto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.05.25	Ospitaletto - Crema	3:3 ✺
27.04.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Ospitaletto - Club Milano	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ospitaletto - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWWW
- AC Bra
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.05.25	Bra - Unione Sanremo	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Borgaro - Bra	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Bra - Varese	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Imperia - Bra	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Bra - Ligorna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

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