Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Fezzanese

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5
	1.51	4.1	5.2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.51	4.05	5.27
	1.51	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	3.95 ↓ (4.08)	5.23 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
59.8%

Draw
22.9%

Fezzanese
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.3%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

15.7%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Fezzanese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ostia Mare that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fezzanese than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fezzanese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ostia Mare - Fezzanese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Lunghi G. ⚽,
45+9', 1 - 1, Kouko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 1, Peres A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Ostia Mare - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.10.24	Ostia Mare - Follonica Gavorrano	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	SanGiovanniValdarno - Ostia Mare	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Livorno - Ostia Mare	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Ostia Mare - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLT
- USD Fezzanese
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.10.24	Fezzanese - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Fulgens Foligno - Fezzanese	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Fezzanese - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	SanGiovanniValdarno - Fezzanese	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Fezzanese - Figline	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

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