Match Info

4. liga - Group B - Round 28

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Ostrov		Chomutov

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.35	2.08
	2.97	3.3	2.06
	3.04	3.41	2.12	Watch
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.08	3.35	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.35)	3.3 ↓ (3.68)	2.09 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostrov
29.8%

Draw
27.2%

Chomutov
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

24.6%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ostrov's form might have worsened.

Chomutov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chomutov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrov than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ostrov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chomutov than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chomutov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ostrov - Chomutov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostrov won 0.

Ostrov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chomutov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chomutov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ostrov won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ostrov won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Chomutov	9	7	0	2	19:7	12	21
13	Ostrov	9	3	1	5	16:23	-7	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ostrov
Czech 4 Liga Group B
23.05.26	Tempo Prague - Ostrov	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Olympie Březová - Ostrov	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ostrov - Baník Sokolov	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ostrov - Seko Louny	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Viktoria Mariánské Lázně - Ostrov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLW
- FC Chomutov
Czech 4 Liga Group B
22.05.26	Chomutov - Seko Louny	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Viktoria Mariánské Lázně - Chomutov	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Chomutov - Meteor Prague	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Chomutov - Újezd Praha	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ústí nad Labem B - Chomutov	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 4 Liga Group B
31.10.25	Chomutov - Ostrov	1:1
12.06.24	Ostrov - Chomutov	3:3
04.11.23	Chomutov - Ostrov	3:0
28.09.21	Ostrov - Chomutov	1:1
16.11.19	Ostrov - Chomutov	1:2 penalties
02.11.18	Chomutov - Ostrov	3:1

Ostrov - Chomutov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide