The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ostrov 48.6%
Draw 24.8%
Štětí 26.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.3%
24.1%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
24.6%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ostrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ostrov's performance.
Štětí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Štětí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrov than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ostrov that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Štětí than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Štětí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 13th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostrov won 1.
Ostrov is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Štětí has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ostrov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Ostrov has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:18 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ostrov against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Steti
12
5
3
4
20:19
1
18
15
Ostrov
12
3
1
8
17:34
-17
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ostrov - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.27%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.