Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Ostrovets)


	Ostrovets		Molodechno

	1	X	2
	3.63	3.14	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.25)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	1.97 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostrovets
25%

Draw
28.9%

Molodechno
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

29.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.6%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostrovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolov I. (C) 11. Boychenko M. 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 9. Fedosenko A. 21. Kilyimanov A. 15. Kotlyarov A. 44. Krivtsov G. 17. Medvedev R. 19. Mikhey E. 7. Zaytsev I.	1. Tretyak D. (G) 22. Atrashkevich S. 17. Belashevich V. 2. Gruzhevskiy D. 55. Imeryakov E. 4. Koval I. 13. Miroevskiy A. 20. Sagitov A. 7. Sakhonchik A. 21. Sokolovskiy M. 8. Velisevich D. (C)
Substitutes
99. Drozd V. (G) 10. Goncharik K. 25. Gonzhurov A. 23. Isachenko E. 22. Kalinovskiy M. 13. Kudinov E. 81. Skripnik G. 97. Tsyk D. 88. Yakimovich N. 20. Zhernosek G.	15. Alshanik A. 19. Bakinovskiy A. 11. Bara Y. 29. Dubovik T. 23. Kapov K. 12. Perov D. (G) 25. Pilipenko M. 9. Shmarov E. 49. Yushkevich A. 5. Zhevnerov E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Sagitov A. ⚽, Atrashkevich S. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Sagitov A. ⚽, Koval I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Kotlyarov A. 🟨,
61', 0 - 3, Sakhonchik A. ⚽, Koval I. (A),
66', Koval I. 🟨,
78', 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Tsyk D. ⚽, Kotlyarov A. (A),
89', 2 - 3, Mikhey E. ⚽, Tsyk D. (A),
90', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostrovets won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Molodechno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Molodechno will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ostrovets won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ostrovets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Molodechno	26	14	3	9	45:40	5	45
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.05.26	Gomel 2 - Ostrovets	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Ostrovets - Orsha	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Volna Pinsk - Ostrovets	2:2 ✺
24.04.26	Ostrovets - Smorgon	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	BumProm Gomel - Ostrovets	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLTTW
- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
16.05.26	Molodechno - Slonim	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	BATE 2 - Molodechno	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Molodechno - Uni X Labs Minsk	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Gomel 2 - Molodechno	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Volna Pinsk - Molodechno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.11.24	Ostrovets - Molodechno	0:2
31.07.24	Molodechno - Ostrovets	1:1
03.09.23	Molodechno - Ostrovets	1:2
29.04.23	Ostrovets - Molodechno	1:1
14.08.22	Molodechno - Ostrovets	0:0
Belarusian Division 2 - Group A
22.08.20	Ostrovets - Molodechno	2:3
23.05.20	Molodechno - Ostrovets	2:0

Ostrovets - Molodechno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide