Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Ouakam		Guédiawaye

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.52	3.4
	2.49	2.4	3.73	Watch
	2.5	2.45	3.1
	2.41	2.52	3.45	Watch
	2.5	2.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.7)	2.43 ↓ (2.65)	3.49 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ouakam
36.9%

Draw
37.2%

Guédiawaye
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

34.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

35.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ouakam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Guédiawaye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guédiawaye might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ouakam than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guédiawaye than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guédiawaye could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ouakam - Guédiawaye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ouakam won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ouakam won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ouakam won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ouakam	30	8	18	4	23:16	7	42
13	Guediawaye	30	7	8	15	29:34	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ouakam
Senegal Ligue 1
07.01.26	Teungueth - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Ouakam - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wally Daan - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ouakam - AJEL de Rufisque	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Ouakam - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTLT
- Guédiawaye FC
Senegal Ligue 1
07.01.26	Guédiawaye - HLM	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Camberene - Guédiawaye	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Guédiawaye - Casa Sport	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Guédiawaye - Jaraaf	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Pikine - Guédiawaye	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
20.10.24	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	1:1
14.04.24	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	4:2
10.12.23	Ouakam - Guédiawaye	2:0
15.04.18	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	2:1
23.02.18	Ouakam - Guédiawaye	0:1
04.06.17	Guédiawaye - Ouakam	0:0

Ouakam - Guédiawaye: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide