Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday


	Ouargla		Annaba

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.6	7.25
	1.45	3.44	7.47
	1.46	3.44	7.47
	1.42	3.74	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	3.56 (3.56)	7.55 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ouargla
62.7%

Draw
25.4%

Annaba
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

25.5%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

14.5%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ouargla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Annaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ouargla than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ouargla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annaba than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Annaba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ouargla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Annaba has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ouargla is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ouargla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ouargla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IRB Ouargla
Algerian Ligue 2
06.01.24	Olympique Magrane - Ouargla	0:0 ✺
29.12.23	Ouargla - Khroub	1:0 ✺
08.12.23	CA Batna - Ouargla	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Ouargla - Olympique Akbou	0:1 ✺
24.11.23	Chelghoum - Ouargla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTLL
- USM Annaba
Algerian Ligue 2
05.01.24	Annaba - MSP Batna	1:3 ✺
30.12.23	Teleghma - Annaba	2:1 ✺
08.12.23	Annaba - El Eulma	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	El Harrach - Annaba	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Annaba - Bordj Ménaïel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
24.02.23	Ouargla - Annaba	1:1
14.10.22	Annaba - Ouargla	2:2
26.03.22	Ouargla - Annaba	3:0
11.12.21	Annaba - Ouargla	2:1

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